Wonderwall

Golden Globes: Who Will Win, Who Should Win (Analysis)

The Associated Press, Wednesday, January 9, 2013, 12:57pm (PST)

The Hollywood Reporter -- This story first appeared in the Jan. 18 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

THR's awards analyst Scott Feinberg predicts who will win at Sunday's Golden Globes, while chief film critic Todd McCarthy declaims who should win, and chief television critic Tim Goodman handicaps the TV races.

Best Film Drama WILL WIN: Argo SHOULD WIN: Zero Dark Thirty -- Because of its urgent, bravura filmmaking.

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Best Film Drama Actress WILL WIN: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty SHOULD WIN: Chastain -- The core of a laser-focused film.

Best Film Drama Actor WILL WIN: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln SHOULD WIN: Joaquin Phoenix, The Master -- Creepy work.

Best Film Comedy/Musical WILL WIN: Les Miserables SHOULD WIN: Moonrise Kingdom -- A style like no other.

Best Film Comedy/Musical Actress WILL WIN: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook SHOULD WIN: Lawrence -- Electric -- and then some.

Best Film Comedy/Musical Actor WILL WIN: Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables SHOULD WIN: Jack Black, Bernie -- An unexpected tour de force.

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Best Film Supporting Actor WILL WIN: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln SHOULD WIN: Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master -- Masterly.

Best Film Supporting Actress WILL WIN: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables SHOULD WIN: Amy Adams, The Master -- Lots beneath the surface.

Best Film Director WILL WIN: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln SHOULD WIN: Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty -- Her best work.

Best Film Screenplay WILL WIN: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained SHOULD WIN: Tarantino -- Audacious and outrageous.

Best Animated Film WILL WIN: Wreck-It Ralph SHOULD WIN: Wreck-It Ralph -- Enormously clever and smart.

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Best Television Series, Drama WILL WIN: Homeland SHOULD WIN: Breaking Bad -- It's actually not that close.

Best Television Actress, Drama WILL WIN: Claire Danes, Homeland SHOULD WIN: Danes -- She's always good, and you know it.

Best Television Actor, Drama WILL WIN: Damian Lewis, Homeland SHOULD WIN: Mad Men's Jon Hamm -- Either one, or Breaking Bad's Bryan Cranston, works just fine.

Best Television Series, Comedy or Musical WILL WIN: Episodes SHOULD WIN: Girls -- Honestly, this should not be a contest.

Best Television Actress, Comedy or Musical WILL WIN: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep SHOULD WIN: Girls' Lena Dunham -- But they're all great, actually.

Best Television Actor, Comedy or Musical WILL WIN: Don Cheadle, House of Lies SHOULD WIN: Cheadle -- Another fine assemblage, but Cheadle's a force of nature.