Why He's Nominated: For a badass performance as the washed-up, part-time country star/full-time drunk "Bad Blake."
Chances Of Winning: 1-5. It's not surprising that Mr. Bridges is the one favored to win this category. Not only did he play an overweight alcoholic with a commendable amount of panache, but he also really performed most of the songs from the film. The Academy knows that it's not easy to play a convincing alcoholic, plus this year there are no Sean Penns or Daniel Day-Lewises to compete against.